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Could a monetary policy loosening in a low interest rate environment have unintended recessionary effects? Using a non-linear macroeconomic model fitted to the euro area economy, we show that the effectiveness of monetary policy can decline in negative territory until it reaches a turning point,...
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inflation and interest rates. We study a stylized New Keynesian model where the policy instrument is subject to a lower bound to … interest rates and inflation to study whether the decrease in the natural rate of interest leads to forecast densities … bound has a sizable effect on the distribution of future interest rates, its impact on forecast densities for inflation is …
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inflation rate preemptively, but accepts higher volatility in the output gap and the loan rate. Third, if the central bank faces … inflation. -- Optimal monetary policy ; commitment ; model uncertainty …
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