Empirically, currency crises are more frequently accompanied by simultaneous sovereign debt crises than by banking crises. Nevertheless the phenomenon of twin currency and debt crises has so far been treated in economic literature only sparsely. We analyse the optimal policy of a government that...

Regulations and frictions of the market for emerging market bonds keep up the price of capital demanded by emerging countries. Instruments of modern finance, i.e. a pool of emerging market bonds refinanced via an enhanced Asset Backed Securities structure, can significantly reduce the interest...

Stabilizing the exchange rate is a major monetary policy goal in a number of Mediterranean countries. We present a microstructure model of the foreign exchange market based on technical trading that allows us to categorize de facto exchange rate regimes and to derive a market based measure of...

Stabilizing the exchange rate is a major monetary policy goal in a number of CIS countries. We present a microstructure model of the foreign exchange market based on technical trading that allows us to categorize the de facto exchange rate regimes and derive a market based measure of the...

Stabilizing the exchange rate is a major monetary policy goal in a number of CIS countries. Based on a microstructure model of the foreign exchange market with heterogenuous and technical traders we classify the de facto exchange rate management and derive a market based measure of the...

Regaining exchange rate stability has been a major monetary policy goal of East Asian countries in the aftermath of the 1997/98 currency crisis. While most countries have abstained from re-establishing a formal US Dollar peg, they have typically managed the US Dollar exchange rate de facto. We...

Building on a benchmark sample of 78 middle-income countries and based on generalized linear model (glm) estimations we assess the risk of Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Ukraine to experience currency and / or debt crises as other emerging market economies have repeatedly done before. We find...

EU accession countries have strong incentives to stabilize the exchange rate with respect to the Euro as the nominal anchor. We present a microstructure model of the foreign exchange market based on technical trading that allows to categorize the de facto the exchange rate regimes and derive a...

Empirically, currency crises are more frequently accompanied by sovereign debt crises than by banking crises. Nevertheless the phenomenon of twin currency and debt crises has so far been neglected in economic literature. We analyze the optimal policy of a government that may choose and combine...

The microeconomic structure of foreign exchange markets can cause excessive volatility in flexible exchange rate regimes. The market entry of chartists changes the composition of the foreign exchange market and leads to excessive volatility. Our chartist model predicts a continuum of equilibria...