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We construct models which enable a decision-maker to analyze the implications oftypical timeseries patterns of daily exchange rates for currency risk management. Ourapproach is Bayesianwhere extensive use is made of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The effects ofseveral modelcharacteristics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324963
Economists increasingly pay attention to social capital as an important determinant of macroeconomic growth performance. At the same time, there is discussion regarding the robustness of the results of empirical growth studies. In a seminal paper, Knack and Keefer (1997) assess the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324984
A large set of 5350 trend following technica! trading rules is applied to LIFFEand CSCE cocoa futures prices, and tothe Pound-Dollar exchange rate, in the period 1983:1-1997:6. We find that 72% ofthe trading rules generatespositive profits, even when correcting for transaction and borrowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325010
Proponents of the so-called New Economy claim that it entails a structural change of the economy. Such a change, in turn, would require the central bank to rethink its monetary policy to the extent that traditional relationships between inf1ation and economic growth are no longer valid. But such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325031
The purpose of this paper is to assess whether the banking system, over and beyond its credit function, has a significant impact on per capita GDP by providing means of payment. An annual database of 85 countries spanning the 1980-2008 period is exploited to this end. On the descriptive front,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325088
The goal of this paper is to provide up-to-date worldwide evidence on the short-term relationship between credit changes and output changes. Standard correlation methods, stateof-the-art panel Granger causality tests, and panel regressions were applied on a maximum sample of 144 countries over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325095
The role of the exchange rate under inflation targeting (IT) remains an unresolved issue in literature and policy discussions -and a challenge for central banks implementing IT, especially in developing countries. This paper aims at assessing whether there is a relation between the nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325099
of view. The three major elements that characterize an international climate treaty are the emissions reduction path, the … policy, this paper recommends using an international cap-and-trade system. This market-based instrument overcomes … implementation problems related to international taxes and is better suited to reach ecological effectiveness. Additional mechanisms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325134
terror. We analyze determinants of domestic and international terrorism, for target and origin using the Global Terrorism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325137
This paper discusses the design, implementation and use of standards from the perspective of transaction costs economics. A proper design and implementation of standards may lead to a considerable reduction of transaction costs, which enhances trade and, consequently, economic welfare. A major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325142