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We show that a .scal expansion by the core economies of the euro area would have a large and positive impact on periphery GDP assuming that policy rates remain low for a prolonged period. Under our preferred model speci.cation, an expansion of core government spending equal to one percent of...
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We argue that in an economy with downward nominal wage rigidity, the output gap is negative on average. Because it is more difficult to cut wages than to increase them, firms reduce employment more during downturns than they increase employment during expansions. This is demonstrated in a simple...
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The recent decline in euro area inflation has triggered new calls for additional monetary stimulus by the ECB in order … inflation expectations, output gaps and other factors driving current inflation through the lens of the Phillips curve. It also … outputinflation nexus at low trend inflation. The note concludes from this evidence that the risk of a selfreinforcing deflation …
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By using a model of trade union behaviour Grüner (2010) argues that the introduction of the European Monetary Union (EMU) led to lower wage growth and lower unemployment in participating countries. Following Grüner's model, monetary centralization lets the central bank react less flexibly to...
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