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The rational expectations hypothesis for survey and model-based inflation forecasts − from the Survey of Professional … data. The finding of near-unit-root effects in the inflation and inflation expectations series motivates the use of a local …-to-unity specification of the inflation process that enables us to test whether the data are generated by locally non-stationary or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855242
This study assesses the decline in second birth rates for men and women across different skill levels in transitional Russia. Changes within educational groups and occupational classes are observed over three distinct time periods: the Soviet era, economic crisis, and economic recovery. The most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855637
The ongoing euro zone debt crisis creates an undesirable scenario for the global economy as well as for the Asia-Pacific region given that the region has close economic linkages. The paper aims to provide quantitative estimates of the potential impact of the euro zone debt crisis on merchandise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890742
the adverse impact of food inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890743
price shocks, gives a useful opportunity to better understand the structure of inflation in these economies. Analysis of the … inefficiencies on the supply side perpetuate inflation. Procyclical policy amplifies the negative impact of supply shocks on output …. Inflation surges are reduced at high output cost while propagation mechanisms and well-intentioned administrative interventions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890749
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010894234
This paper presents the evolution of the consumer prices, which in turn is a measure if the inflation. By using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010894301
This paper quantitatively evaluates a steady-state inflation rate that is considered desirable from the perspective of … costs and benefits that accompany inflation. We build a model capable of evaluating the effects, on social welfare, of … social loss with different steady-state inflation rates. We also analyze the range of changes in the steady-state inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010894531
of Japan's economy, including inflation dynamics, the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates, linkages with overseas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010894620
recession cycles for the inflation targeting (IT) period in Turkey, from 2002:M1 to 2012:M10, by using a co-integrating non …-run relationship between nominal exchange rate and domestic inflation rate. According to alternative calculations of depreciation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010894810