This study shows that, in a model with non-separable preferences for durable and non-durable goods, the effect of relative prices on the ratio of consumption for the two goods, known as the intratemporal elasticity of substitution, has decreased in the U.S. since 1981. We found that durable and...

This paper explores the effects of India's adoption of inflation targeting (IT) as a monetary policy framework in 2016 on long-term inflation expectations in the private sector. Using data from 2010 to 2022, including inflation forecasts from professional forecasters and an inflation sentiment...

This paper utilizes Greenbook forecasts of consumption and income to predict expected asset returns through a present-value model of consumption. The study finds that, despite the valuable information contained in Greenbook forecasts, the expected asset returns obtained from this approach do not...

In this paper we examine house price synchronization in 15 global cities using real house price data from 1995:Q1-2020:Q2. We find that although there is evidence for bilateral positive phase synchronization, there is no evidence for an integrated global housing market for our sample of cities....

This paper analyzes the performance of central banks in 27 inflation targeting countries by examining their success in achieving their explicit inflation targets. For this purpose, we decompose the inflation gap, the difference between actual inflation and inflation target, into predictable and...

Conventional VAR estimation and forecasting ignores the fact that economic data are often subject to revision many months or years after their initial release. This paper shows how VAR analysis can be modified to account for such revisions. The proposed approach assumes that government...

This paper analyzes the performance of central banks in 27 inflation targeting countries by examining their success in achieving their explicit inflation targets. For this purpose, we decompose the inflation gap, the difference between actual inflation and inflation target, into predictable and...

This paper seeks to answer two questions in the context of the Indian economy. First, are all movements in food and energy prices transitory? Second, is there a significant relationship between permanent and transitory shocks to different components of the aggregate price level? Using monthly...