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-term fluctuations in the euro area have become more strongly correlated with financial variables like credit and house prices, and less …
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This work aims to assess whether the hypothesis of endogenous synchronisation of shocks is verified in the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). A state-space model, which yields time-varying coefficients, is estimated with structural demand and supply shocks to several European economies...
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, business cycles are not yet well synchronized with the euro area's business cycle, and risk-sharing mechanisms may not provide …
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The paper analyses the role of monetary policy for cyclical movements of investment and asset markets in East Asia and Europe based on a Mises-Hayek overinvestment framework. It is shown how the gradual global decline of interest rates has triggered wandering overinvestment cycles in Japan,...
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