A covariance-stationary vector of variables has a Wold representation whose coefficients can be semiparametrically estimated by local projections (Jordà, 2005). Substituting the Wold representations for variables in model expressions generates restrictions that can be used by the method of...

In 2007, the Wall Street Journal published an article claiming that each execution saves more than 70 lives. This example is used to show how easy it is, using simple or advanced econometric techniques, to produce results that do or do not support the deterrence hypothesis. Moreover, we also...

This paper considers the problems facing decision makers using econometric models in real time. It identifies the key stages involved and highlights the role of automated systems in reducing the effect of data snooping. It sets out many choices that researchers face in construction of automated...

We consider the identification of a Markov process {Wt,Xt*} for t = 1, 2, ... , T when only {Wt} for t = 1, 2, ... , T is observed. In structural dynamic models, Wt denotes the sequence of choice variables and observed state variables of an optimizing agent, while Xt* denotes the sequence of...

We evaluate a pilot workfare project of a Berlin city community to integrate young people in social assistance into the labor market. Reference data are generated in collaboration with the German Employment Office. The participation effect is found to be positive and of relevant size, but not...

The thought that the academy might function like a ‘market place for ideas’ has been influential in the economics of science and is increasingly so in the philosophy of science/economic methodology literature. This paper contributes to this literature by examining one respect in which the...

This dissertation consists of three stand-alone research papers, all of which treat the topic of estimation and dynamic modelling of multivariate volatility by employing the information contained in high-frequency data, which became available in the last 10 - 15 years. The main focus of all...

This dissertation introduces three novel approaches for the econometric evaluation of heterogeneous treatment effects. The proposed methods consider the effects of a binary treatment on different characteristics of the outcome distribution.Section 1 proposes an estimation method for various...

The main focus of this work is theanalysis of price direction processes at transaction level ofdifferent stocks traded at the NYSE. Three different models havebeen applied to the data, namely the autoregressive conditionalmultinomial model, a probit model with latent ARMA-process anddifferent...