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We study the phenomenon of spurious regression between two random variables when the generating mechanism for individual series follows a stationary process around a trend with (possibly) multiple breaks in its level and slope. We develop relevant asymptotic theory and show that spurious...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706276
In recent literature on multiple structural change, the number of breaks is determined through a sequential test of parameter constancy. This paper explores the possibility of determining the number of breaks in a time series by relating structural breaks to the behavior of unit roots. Thus,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706356
This paper analyzes whether the real exchange-rate of the Mexican peso/US dollar revert to a long-run equilibrium value, and whether this value is unique. We use a method for testing stationarity, that allows for an unknown number of structural breaks in the level of the series. Using a long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005628711
This paper shows that the evolution of the level of Mexico real and real per capita output between 1895 and 2008 can be adequately described through a trend stationary model, affected by 4 structural breaks, which ocurred at dates that seem to coincide with domestic institutional arrangements,...
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