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This paper provides a simple, yet reliable, alternative to the (Bayesian) estimation of large multivariate VARs with time variation in the conditional mean equations and/or in the covariance structure. With our new methodology, the original multivariate, n-dimensional model is treated as a set...
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Using Bayesian Monte Carlo methods, we augment a stochastic distance function measure of bank efficiency and productivity growth with indicators of capitalization, return and risk. Our novel Multiple Indicator-Multiple Cause (MIMIC) style model generates more precise estimates of policy relevant...
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On February 24, 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine. In this paper, we analyze the response of European and worldwide stock markets and a representative sample of commodities to this event and compare it against the recent Covid-19 pandemic and the not-too-distant 2008 global financial crisis. We...
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This paper attempts to reveal the impact of the right jump tail on the dynamics and term structures of volatility-of-volatility (VVIX) and variance-of-variance risk premium (VVRP) based on the VIX index while examining the return predictability implicit in the VIX market. In a simulation study...
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