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The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is one of the most important economic and financial hypotheses that have been tested over the past century. Due to many abnormal phenomena and conflicting evidence, otherwise known as anomalies against EMH, some academics have questioned whether EMH is...
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We propose a novel class of models in which the crash hazard rate is determined by a function of a non-local estimation … of mispricing. Rooted in behavioral finance, the non-local estimation embodies in particular the characteristic of … series because they assume that crashes occur in a single large negative jump, which is counterfactual. The model estimation …
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We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
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We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018699
annual US stock price data from 1871 until 2003. The estimation results support the existence of two expectation regimes. One …
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