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In this paper we analyze the existence of nonlinear relationships between macroeconomic fundamentals and exchange rates for some major industrialized countries using an error correction model with time-varying parameters for the post Bretton Woods period. We find that inflation rate...
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In this paper we propose to augment the traditional relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rates (RERI) by adding the stock market equilibrium condition to it. We introduce the relative dividend yield as the new information variable. In the empirical analysis we use recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139584
The role of stock and currency market information in a forward-looking Taylor rule is analysed for monthly data from 13 OECD countries and the U.S. during the years 1988-2012. Based on a simple set of partial equilibrium conditions we fi nd that the stock market information in the form of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088739
We find that exogenous structural shocks caused by terrorist attacks, wars, political turmoil and gold market specific events have a strong role to play in the analysis of dynamic relationships between gold and stock market returns. Our main finding is that the interaction between the gold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963146
We analyse how the future real economic activity is discounted to the current value of stocks in the US and European markets, and find that the extraordinary threat on future real GDP growth caused by the COVID-19 pandemic was obviously one of the main factors that affected the deep dive in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836097
This is the first paper that explores lottery-like demand in cryptocurrency markets. Since recent research provides evidence that cryptocurrency returns are rather short-memory processes in their nature, we modify Bali et al.'s (2011, 2017) MAX measure and employ a weekly forecast horizon and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839840
Contrary to expectations, the continuous decline in money market interest rates between 2009 and 2014, and the following negative era for European interbank markets, has positively affected profitability of Finnish cooperative banks. We obtain these results that contrast sharply with previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844966