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Option-implied information and predictability of extreme returns
Vilkovz, Grigory; Xiaox, Yan - 2013 - This version: January 28, 2013
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
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On the correlation between commodity and equity returns : implications for portfolio allocation
Lombardi, Marco; Ravazzolo, Francesco - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009782578
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Equilibrium moment restrictions on asset returns : normal and crisis periods
Simmons, Peter J.; Tantisantiwong, Nongnuch - In: The European journal of finance 20 (2014) 10/12, pp. 1064-1089
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465917
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Is Your Covariance Matrix Still Relevant? An Asset Allocation-Based Analysis of Dynamic Volatility Models
Colon, James - 2013
Ever since Harry Markowitz published his seminal paper on portfolio selection, investors have incorporated estimates of future volatilities and correlations into their asset allocation process. While portfolio construction methods continue to evolve, many investors continue to forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086014
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CoAnomaly : Correlation Risk in Stock Market Anomalies
Guo, James Tengyu - 2019
pairwise correlation among 34 anomalies, which helps to explain both the time-series and the cross-sectional anomaly return …, CoAnomaly carries a negative price of risk. These return patterns suggest that arbitrageurs take the time-varying correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900148
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The Pricing of Long and Short Run Variance and Correlation Risk in Stock Returns
Cosemans, Mathijs - 2017
This paper studies the pricing of long and short run variance and correlation risk. The predictive power of the market … variance risk premium for returns is driven by the correlation risk premium and the systematic part of individual variance … volatility and correlation are priced. Both long and short run volatility and correlation factors have explanatory power for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976032
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Large dynamic covariance matrices: enhancements based on intraday data
De Nard, Gianluca; Engle, Robert F.; Ledoit, Olivier; … - 2022 - This version: January 2022
unconditional correlation matrix. In this paper, we show how performance can be increased further by using open/high/low/close (OHLC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040932
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Large dynamic covariance matrices: enhancements based on intraday data
De Nard, Gianluca; Engle, Robert F.; Ledoit, Olivier; … - 2021 - This version: June 2021
unconditional correlation matrix. In this paper, we show how performance can be increased further by using open/high/low/close (OHLC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584099
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Cross-section without factors : correlation risk, strings and asset prices
Distaso, Walter; Mele, Antonio; Vilkov, Grigory - 2021 - This version: January 13, 2021
quantities driven by common factors, which hinders achieving a neat definition of a correlation premium. We formulate a model … returns: an average correlation premium. This premium is both statistically and economically significant, and considerably …-series behavior of the premium for the risk of changes in asset correlations (the premium for correlation risk), including its inverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421289
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Large dynamic covariance matrices: enhancements based on intraday data
De Nard, Gianluca; Engle, Robert F.; Ledoit, Olivier; … - 2020
. (2019) is able to overcome this curse via nonlinear shrinkage estimation of the unconditional correlation matrix. In this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012253083