We carry out a number of policy simulations with DNB's multicountry model, EUROMON. With these simulations we aim to analyse the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal expansion in light of the current global downturn in the US and the Euro area. We thus run two types of simulations in which we...

We show by means of a bank relationship model that after monetary policy tightening, public firms (having easier access to public capital markets) are more likely to decrease their demand for bank loans than private firms (which are typically more dependent on bank credit and benefit more from...

Since 1989, DNB publishes every month a column on the Netherlands' economy in the Dutch economist weekly, ESB. This column discusses the latest trends depicted by the DNB business cycle indicator. The indicator has not been changed since its construction and has performed well over the years....

We consider empirically the incremental financing decisions for a sample of 153 AEX-quoted companies during the years 1984 through 1997. First, we estimate a binomial logit model for the choice between internal and external finance. Second, we estimate a multinomial logit model for the choice...

This report describes the macro-econometric model for the Republic of Macedonia MAKMODEL. It documents the main features of this model that was built by research teams of the Macedonian and Dutch central bank during July 1999 - June 2001 as one module of a large scale PHARE-project, funded by...

The continental European financial system distinghuishes itself from its American counterpart by the dominance of banks in the financing of nonfinancial companies. Only a fraction of the external capital need of the private sector is fulfilled directly, on the public capital market. Non-bank...

We perform four simulations with the multi-countrymodel EUROMON illustrating both upwards and downward risks to future inflation in the Euro area. We examine how different sources of inflation can affect, first, the Euro area as a whole in comparison to the US, and second, compare the effects...

This paper contributes to the empirical evidence on the credit channel of monetary policy in the euro area by providing firm level evidence on the relation between the impact of monetary policy on firm balance sheets and the corporate governance characteristics of the firms. A sample of half a...

We use a subsample bootstrap method to get a consistent estimate of the asymptotically optimal choice of the sample fraction, in the sense of minimal mean squared error, which is needed for tail index estimation. Unlike previous methods our procedure is fully self contained. In particular, the...

The stability of the financial system at higher loss levels is either characterized by asymptotic dependence or asymptotic independence. If asymptotically independent, the dependency, when present, eventually dies out completely at the more extreme quantiles, as in case of the multivariate...