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The new-Keynesian, Taylor-rule theory of inflation determination relies on explosive dynamics. By raising interest … rates in response to inflation, the Fed does not directly stabilize future inflation. Rather, the Fed threatens … hyperinflation or deflation, unless inflation jumps to one particular value on each date. However, there is nothing in economics to …
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We examine the degree and sources of disagreement between the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Federal Reserve's (Fed's) staff about the appropriate policy rate for the period 1987-2011. For that purpose, we compute a counterfactual interest rate for the Fed's staff , based on its...
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