This paper analyzes the influence of downside risk on defaultable bond returns. By introducing a defaultable bond … bond excess returns using a portfolio-level analysis and Fama-MacBeth regressions. We find that downside risk is a strong … and robust predictor for future bond returns. In addition, due to the higher proportion of abnormal transactions in the …

This paper implements a structural model of the yield curve with data on nominal positions and survey forecasts. Bond … bond payoffs. Risk premia measured by an econometrician vary because of changes in investors' subjective risk premia that …

This working paper comments on Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider's "Bond Positions, Expectations, and the Yield …

We derive a simple expression for the sensitivity of duration, convexity, and higher-order bond risk measures to … effects of term structure level, slope, and curvature shifts on any specific bond risk measure. These results are particularly …

Recent findings on the term structure of equity and bond yields pose serious challenges to existing models of … dynamics of equity and bond yields (and their yield spreads). The movements of equity and bond yields are driven mainly by … returns/yields and nominal bond returns/yields switched from positive to negative after the late 1990s, owing mainly to a …

This paper presents an equilibrium bond-pricing model that jointly explains the upward-sloping nominal and real yield …

-form expressions for the vector of expected bond returns and for the covariance matrix of bond returns based on a general class of well … heteroskedasticity in bond returns. An empirical application involving a data set with 15 fixed income securities with different …

A bond's expected return (EBR) is the ex-ante internal rate of return of the bond's expected future cash flows, whereas … a bond's yield to maturity (YTM) is the internal rate of return of its promised future cash flows. In this paper we … the model to U.S. corporate bond data, using rating transition matrices and industry-specific recovery rates. We show that …