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Nowcasting : identifying German cyclical turning points
Kovacs, Kevin; Boulier, Bryan L.; Stekler, Herman O. - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 237 (2017) 4, pp. 329-341
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866754
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German economy : v(irus)-shaped recession ahead
Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Fiedler, Salomon; Groll, Dominik; … - 2020
The spread of the coronavirus will have a considerable impact on the German economy. The economy will be hit in a situation in which it was just about to regain footing after the downturn of the past year. Recently, signs have been increasing that industrial production is finding its bottom and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012183111
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German economy overcomes slowdown only gradually
Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Fiedler, Salomon; Groll, Dominik; … - 2019
capital goods. In the meantime, the investment climate in Germany has also deteriorated noticeably. As a result, companies are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140365
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The ifo export climate : a leading indicator to forecast German export growth
Grimme, Christian; Lehmann, Robert - In: CESifo forum : a quarterly journal on European issues 20 (2019) 4, pp. 36-42
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012150028
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Germany at the brink of recession
Ademmer, Martin; Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Fiedler, Salomon; … - 2019
quarter. Germany would thus formally be in a technical recession. However, the slowdown that began in 2018 has so far been a … that economic momentum in Germany has cooled off more than in many other countries. To some extent, this is due to the fact … weigh particularly on production in Germany. Against this backdrop, exports are likely to pick up only gradually. Private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012116912
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Comparing sentiment- and behavioral-based leading indexes for industrial production : when does each fail?
Seip, Knut Lehre; Yilmaz, Yunus; Schröder, Michael - In: Economies : open access journal 7 (2019) 4/104, pp. 1-18
production (IP) in Germany. We obtain three sets of results. First, we show that the sentiment-based ifo index performs best in … great moderation” in the US at the end of a minor depression in Germany. Around 2005, oil prices increased from $10 to $60 a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132320
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Changes in economic sentiment indicators before and after economic crisis (position of Visegrad Group and Germany in EU)
Necadova, Marta - In: Central European business review : CEBR 8 (2019) 4, pp. 55-85
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157655
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Handbuch der umfragebasierten Konjunkturforschung
Goldrian, Georg (ed.) - 2004
Das ifo Instiut hat ein neues Handbuch der umfragebasierten Konjunkturforschung erstellt. Das Handbuch gibt einen Überblick über die regelmäßigen Befragungsaktivitäten des Instituts und zeigt Möglichkeiten der wissenschaftlichen Verwertung der Befragungsergebnisse im Rahmen der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011747513
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Composite survey sentiment as a predictor of future market returns: evidence for German equity indices
Rakovská, Zuzana - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012493166
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The forecasting power of the ifo business survey
Lehmann, Robert - 2020
The ifo Institute is Germany’s largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business Climate Germany as one of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219339