We show that expected returns on US stocks and all major stock world market indices are non-linearly dependent on previous returns. The expected sign of returns tends to reverse after large price movements and trends tend to continue after small movements. This property can be captured by a...

This paper investigates the extent to which the size affects the SME probabilities of bankruptcy. Using a dataset of (11,117) US non-financial firms, of which (465) filed for insolvency under chapters 7/11 between 1980 and 2013. We forecast the bankruptcy probabilities by developing four...

In applications as diverse as banking, supermarket and catalogue sales, it has been clearly identified that prices have a strong propensity to cluster around certain digits. This study forwards an explanation and empirical investigation of price clustering in retail markets, through an...