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The aim of this paper is to assess the short and medium term impact of debt crises. Using an unbalanced panel of 159 countries from 1970 to 2008, the paper shows that debt crises produce significant and long-lasting output losses.In particular, we find that debt crises are very costly reducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139578
The aim of this paper is to assess the short- and medium-term impact of debt crises on GDP. Using an unbalanced panel of 154 countries from 1970 to 2008, the paper shows that debt crises produce significant and long-lasting output losses, reducing output by about 10 percent after eight years....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113315
How would the sovereign debt community react to NML Capital Ltd. decision?To date, nearly all literature on sovereign debt issues has focused on deterring holdout behavior in foreign bonds restructuring, from a majority voting system to a stay on enforcement. However, the NML Capital Ltd....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085074
How do oil price movements affect sovereign spreads in an oil-dependent economy? I develop a stochastic general equilibrium model of an economy exposed to co-moving oil price and output processes, with endogenous sovereign default risk. The model explains a large proportion of business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858384
This paper acknowledges the fact that some countries have to borrow in foreign currencies due to the various constraints they face. Starting from this point, the author reviews approaches for trying to determine the currency structure for sovereign debt, and discusses some issues inherent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012552694
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This paper argues that the development of a regime for sovereign debt workouts has created an asymmetry between the rights and interests of sovereign lenders and those of the population of a debtor state. It first analyzes the impact of sovereign debt workouts on human rights. Subsequently, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062760
One of the main conclusions of Reinhart and Rogoff's study of sovereign debt crises, highlighted in its title This Time is Different, is that markets for sovereign debt are prone to manic mood swings. When things go well for an extended period, lenders tend to underestimate risks of crisis. They...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827685