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Structural change and business cycles : an evolutionary approach

Lorentz, André; Savona, Maria - 2010

The aim of this paper is to account for both the short-run fluctuations and the very-long run transformations induced by technological change in analysing long-run growth patterns. The paper investigates the possible imprint left by short-run fluctuations on the long run dynamics by affecting...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008779976

Trade and the Great Divergence : The Family Connection

Galor, Oded; Mountford, Andrew - 2006

This research argues that the rapid expansion of international trade in the second phase of the industrial revolution has played a major role in the timing of demographic transitions across countries and has thereby been a significant determinant of the distribution of world population and a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014060187

Degrees of development : how geographic latitude sets the pace of industrialization and demographic change

Strulik, Holger (contributor) - 2008

Successful economic development is usually characterized by two salient phenomena: industrialization and demographic … are interrelated. This paper develops a theory for their interaction with a special emphasis on the different pattern and …. -- Industrialization ; Structural Change ; Demographic Transition ; Geography ; Health ; Cross-Country Divergence …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003612619

The simplest unified growth theory

Strulik, Holger (contributor); Weisdorf, Jacob (contributor) - 2007

This paper provides a uni?ed growth theory, i.e. a model that explains the very long-run economic and demographic … of Malthus’ (1798) so-called preventive check hypothesis that fertility rates vary inversely with the price of food the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003575465

Population, Technology and Growth: From the Malthusian Regime to the Demographic Transition

Galor, Oded; Weil, David - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1998

This paper develops a unified model of growth, population, and technological progress that is consistent with long-term historical evidence. The economy endogenously evolves through three phases. In the Malthusian regime, population growth is positively related to the level of income per capita....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662118

From Malthusian Stagnation to Modern Growth

Galor, Oded; Weil, David - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1999

This paper examines the historical evolution of the relationship between population growth, technological change, and the standard of living. It considers several unified models that encompass the transition between three distinct regimes that have characterized the process of economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791656

Demographic dynamics and long-run development : insights for the secular stagnation debate

Cervellati, Matteo; Sunde, Uwe; Zimmermann, Klaus F. - 2016

This paper takes a global, long-run perspective on the recent debate about secular stagnation, which has so far mainly focused on the short term. The analysis is motivated by observing the interplay between the economic and demographic transition that has occurred in the developed world over the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011537253

Longevity and technological change

Gehringer, Agnieszka; Prettner, Klaus - 2014

We analyze the impact of increasing longevity on technological progress within an R&D-based endogenous growth framework and test the modelś implications on OECD data from 1960 to 2011. The central hypothesis derived in the theoretical part is that - by raising the incentives of households to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403004

Longevity and technological change

Gehringer, Agnieszka; Prettner, Klaus - 2014

We analyze the impact of increasing longevity on technological progress within an R&D-based endogenous growth framework and test the model's implications on OECD data from 1960 to 2011. The central hypothesis derived in the theoretical part is that - by raising the incentives of households to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403678

Automation and demographic change

Abeliansky, Ana Lucia; Prettner, Klaus - 2017

We analyze the effects of declining population growth on automation. A simple theoretical model of capital accumulation predicts that countries with lower population growth introduce automation technologies earlier. We test the theoretical prediction on panel data for 60 countries over the time...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011639365