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Theory and practice of monetary policy have changed significantly over the past three decades. A very important part of today's monetary policy is management of the expectations of private market participants. Publishing and justifying the central bank's best forecast of inflation, output, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704434
Financial markets are to a very large extent influenced by the advent of information. Such disclosures, however, do not … only contain information about fundamentals underlying the markets, but they also serve as a focal point for the beliefs of … market participants. This dual role of information gains further importance for explaining the development of asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764767
validity of the sticky information model (Mankiw and Reis, 2002) for describing the dynamics of professional growth forecasts …. Instead, the empirical evidence is more in line with implications of "noisy" information models (Woodford, 2002; Sims, 2003 …). Second, we find that information rigidities are more pronounced in emerging economies than advanced economies. Third, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339322
considered an indicator of either information flow or uncertainty. We show in a stylized model economy that both views suggest … market, volatility reflects information (uncertainty). We introduce a simultaneous time-varying coefficient model, where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339937
We define a generalized state-space model with interactive unawareness and probabilistic beliefs. Such models are desirable for many potential applications of asymmetric unawareness. We develop Bayesian games with unawareness, define equilibrium, and prove existence. We show how equilibria are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010365853
This paper argues that assuming a common information set shared by the public and the central bank may be inappropriate … when one is concerned with the value of information itself. Specifically, we argue that it may lead one to draw the … optimal discretionary monetary policy, where we allow for partial and diverse information. The model is used to show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583880
theoretical model assuming, first, that the amounts given is private information, only known to the donor and the donee, while the … amounts bequeathed is public information. Second, we assume that parents care about the reputation that their bequest behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011589028