This study examines the relationship between the weather and intraday investor sentiment. Our results indicate that high temperatures, high humidity, high cloud coverage, and extreme rain negatively affect investors’ moods, whereas high winds and long sunshine durations improve their moods....

This study examines the effect of global risk aversion on future real economic activity (REA) and stock market volatility. We propose new international real business cycle (RBC) frameworks with a stochastic global risk-aversion spillover process by extending the commonly used RBC models. We also...

Incentive fees exist in the hedge fund industry to solve the principal-agent problem. However, due to indirect incentives, there continues to be a misalignment between fund managers’ and investors’ interests. This paper analyzes whether investors are able to mitigate this agency problem by...

This study predicts stock market volatility and applies them to the standard problem in finance, namely, asset allocation. Based on machine learning and model averaging approaches, we integrate the drivers’ predictive information to forecast market volatilities. Using various evaluation...

We analyze the effect of scheduled macroeconomic news on intraday market sentiment by comparing the sentiment of the announcement date with that of the non-announcement date. The announcement of the macroeconomic indicators itself does not change the market sentiment, but the direction of the...

This study examines how global risk aversion affects future real economic activity (REA). We propose a new international real business cycle (RBC) framework with a stochastic global risk aversion spillover process by extending the RBC model. Our model reflects output competition and risk...

This study examines the predictive ability of various risk aversion indicators for future real economic activity (REA). Theoretically, the consumption capital asset pricing model and real business cycle model framework explain the role of the investor’s risk aversion. However, we show that...

This study comprehensively examines the economic and financial drivers of volatility changes in terms of a cross-country perspective. We exhaustively review a wide range of studies related to financial volatility forecasting and collect a diverse set of prediction variables. By analyzing them...

This study examines the relationship between the weather and intraday investor sentiment. Our results indicate that high temperatures, high humidity, high cloud coverage, and extreme rain negatively affect investors’ moods, whereas high winds and long sunshine durations improve their moods....

This study examines the effect of global risk aversion on future real economic activity (REA) and stock market volatility. We propose new international real business cycle (RBC) frameworks with a stochastic global risk-aversion spillover process by extending the commonly used RBC models. We also...