The obsolete capital stock in eastern Germany has to be rebuilt. This will increase the capital demand in Germany for the next few years. In addition to the increased demand for capital, government transfers need to be financed. The macroeconomic accounting identity requires that net savings of...

This paper analyses the determinants of the natural rate of interest in a non-linear model where agents are uncertain over both future technology growth and the future course of monetary policy. I show that the real natural rate can be affected by sizable uncertainty premia, including premia...

Die hohe Auslandsverschuldung zwingt viele Entwicklungsländer, ausländische Kredite durch heimische Ressourcen zu ersetzen. Entsprechend gewinnt die Mobilisierung von zusätzlichem inländischen Sparkapital für die Entwicklungsfinanzierung an Bedeutung. In der Literatur, die sich mit den...

This paper empirically investigates the effects of changes in the interest rate as well as transitory income uncertainty on households' consumption-savings decision. Applying a structural demand model to German survey data, we estimate the uncompensated interest rate elasticity for savings, in...