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Konjunktur und Potentialwachstum] Im vierten Quartal des laufenden Jahres dürfte die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion abermals …. Im kommenden Jahr erhält die Konjunktur Gegenwind durch die Verschlechterung der weltwirtschaftlichen Rahmenbedingungen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298442
aus dem Ausland] Die Konjunktur in Deutschland wird sich vorübergehend abkühlen. Zwar sprechen Indikatoren dafür, dass die … 2008 bei 1,9 Prozent und senken die Prognose für das Jahr 2009 von 1,6 auf 1,2 Prozent. - [Abschwächung der Konjunktur in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298443
Labour productivity distribution (dispersion) is studied both theoretically and empirically. Superstatistics is presented as a natural theoretical framework for productivity. The demand index ê is proposed within this framework as a new business index. Japanese productivity data covering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298578
We show that a simple and intuitive three-parameter equation fits remarkably well the evolution of the gross domestic product (GDP) in current and constant dollars of many countries during the times of recession and recovery. We then argue that it can be used to detect shocks and discuss its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298587
We present a model in which investors observe the same macroeconomic data but have varying levels of information about the parameters that determine the distribution of the expected returns on investment. During a crisis that increases macroeconomic uncertainty and reduces asset prices, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298593
Labour productivity distribution (dispersion) is studied within the framework of statistical physics and the result is compared with the outcome of the empirical analysis. Superstatistics is presented as a natural theoretical framework for the productivity distribution. The demand index ê is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298640
Der Beitrag untersucht unter Verwendung der Daten des Sozio-ökonomischen Panels für Westdeutschland über den Zeitraum 1984-2005, ob und in welcher Form die individuelle Betriebszugehörigkeitsdauer von konjunkturellen Schwankungen beeinflusst wird. Als Analyseinstrument dient die...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298684
Firms are affected by the product demand. This leads to employment adjustments. In the literature we find only very few contributions investigating the issue whether internal adjustments are linked and which relationships exist with external adjustments. Are they of a complementary or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298715
This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups: industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298739
The study analyses the business cycles of the G7 countries in a structural vector autoregression(SVAR) framework comprising output, nominal interest rate and inflation. Common and country-specific supply, demand and nominal shocks of each G7 country are identified, and the corresponding shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298787