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This paper surveys current debates on the distributive cycle. The literature builds on R.M. Goodwin's seminal 1967 chapter titled "A growth cycle." We review theoretical motivations for the distributive cycle, which, despite significant differences, all imply that macroeconomic activity leads...
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This paper contributes to the literature on secular stagnation by estimating a measure of potential output growth for the post-war US economy derived from a novel model specification that allows for the cyclical interactions between income distribution, represented by the trajectory of the labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012007772
We model intra-household dynamics in two rural provinces of Mozambique through the lens of computable general equilibrium (CGE) methods. The main features of the model are: 1) a household social accounting matrix that captures allocation of labor and resources, and transfers among household...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756023
We propose a novel methodological approach to disentangle the main structural shocks affecting the US labour share of income during the immediate post-war era (1948Q1- 1984Q4) and the Great Moderation (1985Q1-2018Q3). We motivate a SVAR model in aggregate demand, unemployment rate, real wage and...
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This paper employs (1) a three-sector structuralist model of development with informal and formal activities and (2) a global one-sector model with demand determined outputs and bargained distribution to investigate whether India’s growth performance can be sustained, where the country might...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278449
The combined demographic developments of population aging and high rates of migration of young adults are consequential for older parents who face a potential decline in support from adult children. These developments also impact the lives of migrant adults who face the challenge of providing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278451
We explore four decades of cyclical and long-run dynamics in income distribution and economic activity for a panel of thirteen OECD countries. Based on predator-prey dynamics, we find that the business cycle is weakly profit-led , and that the long-run equilibrium has been shifting towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278457