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Wirtschaftskrisen, -einbrüche und -schocks können verheerend sein, doch langfristig wirkten sie offenbar oft transformativ. Harold James zeigt auf, inwiefern die großen Krisen ab Mitte des 19. Jahrhunderts – von der Hungerkrise in Irland über die großen Weltwirtschaftskrisen bis zu den...
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variables influence cross-country resilience regarding exchange rates, interest rates, stock prices, inflation, and growth …-2023. Cross-sectional regressions reveal that limiting inflation, active management of precautionary buffers of international … variables for financial development, central bank independence, and the inflation rate preceding the cycles. These findings may …
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The purpose of the present paper is to study how households form inflation expectations. Using a novel survey …-base dataset of Italian households' opinions of inflation we investigate two separate, but related, types of behavior …: 'inattentiveness' and 'anchoring'. The present analysis extends the existing literature by incorporating explicitly inflation targets …
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, and time-varying trend inflation using post-WWII U.S. data. The model embedding the stochastic target performs better in … policy aggressiveness and inflation gap persistence. …
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Modern monetary policy focuses on credibility and shaping consumers' inflation expectations. According to the concept … of inflation forecast targeting (IFT), inflation forecasts play a crucial role in the instrument rate decision …-making process and may be a specific intermediate target. The aim of the study is to analyse the credibility of inflation forecasts …
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