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. -- New Keynesian Phillips curve ; cointegration ; vector autoregressive model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003732137
. Symmetry is rejected for the short-run, thus for the given cointegration vectors the final modelling stage is based on the full …, where the VAR based cointegration analysis is combined with a graph-theoretic search for instantaneous causal relations and … unanticipated interest rate change by the Fed. -- Two-country model ; Cointegration ; Structural VAR ; Gets Model Selection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009672516
rate, unemployment and inflation in West Germany from the early 1960s up to 2004 using a multivariate co-integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426365
In this paper, we show that in order to obtain a sound identification of Euro Area monetary policy shocks, one needs to deal with the interaction of the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve. In other words, a proper identification of monetary policy shocks for an open economy like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
This paper explores whether the transmission mechanism between wages and prices in the euro area is affected by the growth regime. Since the great financial crisis inflation developments have posed major puzzles to economists as inflation declined by less than was widely expected during the past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305400
This paper documents, for the first time in a systematic manner, the link between labor cost and price inflation in the euro area. Using country and sector quarterly data over the period 1985Q1-2018Q1 we find a strong link between labor cost and price inflation in the four major economies of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975511
obtained for the USA is characterized by A1=4.0, A2=-0.03075, and t1=2 years. It provides a root mean square forecasting error …) and has a perfect parsimony - only one predictor. The relationship is tested for cointegration. Both variables are … methods of cointegration testing are applied - the Engle-Granger one based on the unit root test of the residuals including a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053528
This paper measures the pass-through of exchange rate changes into domestic inflation within a cointegrated VAR (CVAR) framework. This issue is of particular interest for the euro area (EA) as Member Sates cede their national currencies and no longer have options of using monetary policy to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346364
five different country pairs in the post-Bretton-Woods era. We find evidence for the symmetry of the cointegration space …, which is of practical importance as it allows for the identification of the cointegration vectors in much smaller systems …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228330
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010241448