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What are the implications of targeting different measures of inflation? We extend a basic theoretical framework of … optimal monetary policy under inflation targeting to include several components of CPI inflation ratio, and analyze the … implications of using different measures of inflation as target variable core inflation, CPI excluding interest rates, and headline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584589
inflation is inertial. Microeconomic data indicate that firms change prices frequently. We formulate and estimate a model which … resolves this apparent micro - macro conflict. Our model is consistent with post-war U.S. evidence on inflation inertia even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584699
New multivariate panel cointegration methods are used to analyze nominal exchange rates and prices in four major economies in Europe; France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom for the post-Bretton Woods period. We test for purchasing power parity between these four countries and find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584764
In this paper we study 2-state Markov switching VAR models of monthly unemployment and inflation for three countries …: Sweden, United Kingdom, and the United States. The primary purpose is to examine if periods of low inflation are associated … variance in unemployment. In the U.S. case we find that the variance of unemployment is lower in the low inflation regime than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584800
prediction procedure is applied to a seven variable system with focus on forecasting the Swedish inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584826
Viewed over the whole available history of fiat money in Sweden, high levels of inflation have been present only over a … short time span. It is only in the last two decades - the seventies and the eighties - that inflation has been high, at an … inflation rate has been about two percent. In January 1993, the governing board of the Riksbank announced an inflation target of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584828
The correlation between persistent changes in the markup in one sector of an economy and the inflation rate is …. We find that the correlation is in general positive under an exogenous money growth rule as well as under an inflation … targeting rule. That is, a decrease of the markup leads to a decrease in the CPI-inflation rate. However, if inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585093
This paper proposes a simple explanation for the frequent appearance of a price puzzle in VARs designed for monetary policy analysis. It suggests that the best method of solving the puzzle implies a close connection between theory and empirics rather than the introduction of a commodity price....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585346
Time series regressions indicate that age structure has significant forecasting power on Swedish inflation. The results … corresponding to the stipulated inflation target. The age model is also considerably better than the consensus forecasts and it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011588176
increase in conservatism triggers two opposite effects. It reduces the inflation bias of discretionary monetary policy and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011589303