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Nonparametric regression and the detection of turning points in the Ifo business climate
Abberger, Klaus - 2004
Business climate indicators are used to receive early signals for turning points in the general business cycle. Therefore methods for the detection of turning points in time series are required. Estimations of slopes of a smooth component in the data can be calculated with local polynomial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002426713
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Handbuch der umfragebasierten Konjunkturforschung
Goldrian, Georg (ed.) - 2004
Das ifo Instiut hat ein neues Handbuch der umfragebasierten Konjunkturforschung erstellt. Das Handbuch gibt einen Überblick über die regelmäßigen Befragungsaktivitäten des Instituts und zeigt Möglichkeiten der wissenschaftlichen Verwertung der Befragungsergebnisse im Rahmen der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002083941
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The ZEW/Creditreform business survey in the business-related services sector : sampling frame, stratification, expansion and results
Kaiser, Ulrich - 2000
No other area of the German economy has developed so emphatically in the past ten years as has that business-related services. Regardless of its growing overall economic importance, official statistics fail to provide economic researchers and economic policy with current data on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428318
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Differences in response patterns in a mixed mode : online/paper & pencil business survey
Kaiser, Ulrich - 2001
online participation is not significantly affected by sector affiliation, affiliation to East or West Germany nor information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428432
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The ZEW/Creditreform business survey in the business-related services sector : sampling frame, stratification, expansion and results
Kaiser, Ulrich; Kreuter, Markus; Niggemann, Hiltrud - 2000
No other area of the German economy has developed so emphatically in the past ten years as has that business-related services. Regardless of its growing overall economic importance, official statistics fail to provide economic researchers and economic policy with current data on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444634
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Differences in response patterns in a mixed mode : online/paper & pencil business survey
Kaiser, Ulrich - 2001
indicate that online participation is not significantly affected by sector affiliation, affiliation to East or West Germany nor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446757
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Nonparametric regression and the detection of turning points in the Ifo business climate
Abberger, Klaus - 2004
Business climate indicators are used to receive early signals for turning points in the general business cycle. Therefore methods for the detection of turning points in time series are required. Estimations of slopes of a smooth component in the data can be calculated with local polynomial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450892
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Handbuch der umfragebasierten Konjunkturforschung
Goldrian, Georg (ed.) - 2004
Das ifo Instiut hat ein neues Handbuch der umfragebasierten Konjunkturforschung erstellt. Das Handbuch gibt einen Überblick über die regelmäßigen Befragungsaktivitäten des Instituts und zeigt Möglichkeiten der wissenschaftlichen Verwertung der Befragungsergebnisse im Rahmen der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011747513
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Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey
Lux, Thomas - 2008
This paper develops a methodology for estimating the parameters of dynamic opinion or expectation formation processes … with social interactions. We study a simple stochastic framework of a collective process of opinion formation by a group of … approach can be used to estimate the parameters of the opinion formation process from aggregate data on its average realization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295023
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Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey
Lux, Thomas - 2008
This paper develops a methodology for estimating the parameters of dynamic opinion or expectation formation processes … with social interactions. We study a simple stochastic framework of a collective process of opinion formation by a group of … approach can be used to estimate the parameters of the opinion formation process from aggregate data on its average realization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273102