In recent years, social scientists have increasingly turned to matching as a method for drawing causal inferences from observational data. Matching compares those who receive a treatment to those with similar background attributes who do not receive a treatment. Researchers who use matching...

It is an undisputed fact that weather risk increases over time due to climate change. However, qualification of this statement with regard to the type of weather risk and geographical location is needed. We investigate the application of novel statistical tools for assessing changes in weather...

Applied general and partial equilibrium models are widely used tools for ex ante analysis of trade policy changes. However, simulation results seem to exhibit significant variation across publications, and the often criticised 'black box' character of applied trade models makes meaningful...

We develop a rational expectations model of financial bubbles and study ways in which a generic risk-return interplay is incorporated into prices. We retain the interpretation of the leading Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette model, namely, that the price must rise prior to a crash in order to compensate...

Cultural diversity - in various forms - has in recent years turned into a prominent and relevant research and policy issue. There is an avalanche of studies across many disciplines that measure and analyse cultural diversity and its impacts. Based on different perspectives and features of the...

How does the quality of the transparency regime in a country impact citizen-reporting on corruption? What effect does it have on the work of intermediary bodies such as citizen complaint mechanisms? How do citizen complaint mechanisms, in turn, influence the transparency regimes they work under?...

We show how one can use deep neural networks with macro-economic data in conjunction with price-volume data in a walk-forward setting to do tactical asset allocation. Low cost publicly traded ETFs corresponding to major asset classes (equities, fixed income, real estate) and geographies (US,...