After the formation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in 1994, enthusiasts of regional integration in North America turned their attention to “deeper” forms of integration, especially a customs union or monetary union.1 Interest in proposals for deeper integration peaked...

This paper analyzes the effects of the real value of the dollar on investment in US domestic manufacturing using aggregate data for 1973-2004. Econometric estimation shows a negative effect that is much larger than has been found in any previous study. The exchange rate affects investment...

This paper finds that shocks to net financial inflows, world oil prices, the U.S. growth rate, and the lagged real exchange rate explain most of the fluctuations in Mexico’s annual growth since 1979. The paper also estimates how the effects of these external constraints have changed since...

Recent studies have compared labor losses in import-competing industries with the costs of protection and found that those losses are not large enough to justify trade restraints. This study develops a new technique for estimating the costs and benefits of protection and provides a complete...

This article analyses the effects of the real value of the dollar on investment in US domestic manufacturing using aggregate data for 1973-2004. Econometric estimation shows a negative effect that is much larger than has been found in any previous study. The exchange rate affects investment...

First paragraph: In early August 2009 the 2nd Summer School of the Research Network Macroeconomics and Macroeconomic Policies (FMM) was held in Berlin. As in the previous year, about 50 graduate students, young researchers and senior lecturers from all over the world came together to discuss...

The US economy has experienced a slowdown in its long-term growth and job creation that predates the Great Recession. The stagnation of output growth stems mainly from the depressing effects of rising inequality on aggregate demand, while both increased inequality and the delinkage of employment...

Several recent critiques have questioned the theoretical logic of standard models of balance-of-payments-constrained growth (BPCG) and the empirical support for 'Thirlwall's law'. On the empirical side, critics charge that most econometric estimates of this model have effectively only tested...