Subjective probabilistic judgments are inevitable in many real life domains. A common way to obtain such judgments is to assess fractiles or confidence intervals. However, such judgments tend to be systematically overconfident. For example, 90% confidence intervals for future uncertain...

This paper discusses the asymptotic representations of a class of L2-distance estimators based on weighted empirical processes in a multiple linear regression model when the errors are a function of stationary Gaussian random variables that are long-range dependent. Unlike the independent errors...