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There as been on-going debate and empirical investigation in the literature as to whether or not the term structure contains information about future inflation. In this paper, the authors present new evidence about the information in the term structure of interest rates about future inflation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010541730
It has been argued that research on market efficiency should be evaluated in terms of whether it improves our ability to predict the time series of security returns. Much recent work has addressed the issue of the presence of long memory components in stock prices because of the controversial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010541758
In this paper, linear and non-linear Granger causality tests are used to examine the dynamic relationship between daily Korean stock returns and trading volume. We find evidence of significant bidirectional linear and non-linear causality between these two series. ARCH-type models are used to...
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This paper considers various models emerging from the Fisher effect and/or the term structure of interest rates for inflation forecasting. This paper, it is believed, makes a contribution to the literature on estimation of the models by using a procedure that is robust for non-normal errors,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009209966
Australian interest rate volatility is modelled to examine the effect of quarterly inflation rate announcements on interest rate volatility. The data used in this empirical analysis consists of the daily closing rates for 90 day Australian treasury bills from 3 July 1985 to 31 December 1993....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009206681
The study considers the ADF and KPSS tests for unit root testing in a time series characterized by a number of structural changes in its mean. Using the Monte Carlo simulation method the percentage points of the tests distributions are estimated. These two tests are biased towards non-rejection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009207709
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