Showing 71 - 80 of 699,043
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432990
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011480269
measured by the variance is significantly larger than the amplitude under RE, implying persistent excess volatility. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333266
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010348106
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009723974
This paper develops a theory of expectations-driven business cycles based on learning. Agents have incomplete knowledge … consumption and leisure. Output volatility is comparable with a rational expectations analysis with a standard deviation of … technology shock that is 20 percent smaller, and has substantially more volatility in investment and hours. Persistence in these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770876
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012666119
This paper develops a theory of expectations-driven business cycles based on learning. Agents have incomplete knowledge … consumption and leisure. Output volatility is comparable with a rational expectations analysis with a standard deviation of … technology shock that is 20 percent smaller, and has substantially more volatility in investment and hours. Persistence in these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464466
A representative consumer uses Bayes' law to learn about parameters of several models and to construct probabilities with which to perform ongoing model averaging. The arrival of signals induces the consumer to alter his posterior distribution over models and parameters. The consumer's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011719071
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012542608