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-curve formulations in the USA, Japan and the euro area. Thick models represent "trimmed mean" forecasts from several neural network …
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Past and future evolution of inflation, (t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Japan is modeled. Both variables are … disinflation in the 1990s and deflationary period in the 2000s. In Japan, there exists a statistically reliable (R2=0.68) Phillips … and lagged generalized relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force has been also obtained for Japan: (t …
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This study considers Bayesian variable selection in the Phillips curve context by using the Bernoulli approach of Korobilis (2013a). The Bernoulli model, however, is unable to account for model change over time, which is important if the set of relevant predictors changes over time. To tackle...
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