In this paper we propose a new test procedure with more general steady state information to test the convergence hypothesis for a specific economy. We consider a model where demeaned per capita output of an economy is a function of time trend and then set the convergence hypothesis as negative...

Estimation of the reduced rank regression model requires restrictions be imposed upon the model. Two forms of restrictions are commonly used. Earlier Bayesian work relied on the triangular method of identification which imposes an a priori ordering on the variables in the system, however,...

The global linear trend with autocorrelated disturbances is a surprising omission from the M1 competition. This approach to forecasting is therefore evaluated using the 51 non-seasonal series from the competition. It is contrasted with a fully optimized version of Holts trend corrected...

In this paper we present a test statistic, which will be used to test for significant differences between generating processes of two time series that may be logically connected. The test statistic is based on the differences between estimated parameters of the autoregressive models which are...

This study proposes a new approach to the estimation of daily realised volatility in financial markets from intraday data. We use a weak set of assumptions about the data generating process for intraday returns, including transaction returns, given in den Haan and Levin (1996), which allows for...