The purpose of this paper is to offer an analysis of the behaviour of the money demand, inflation and their determinants, with a focus on the short-term impact of external shocks. Taking into account the weak structure of the Romanian economy (Dobrescu, 1997) the authors confined the study to...

The paper presents a high-frequency (monthly) forecast for six macroeconomic indicators: industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, monetary base, households’ savings and exchange rate.

The short-term forecasts regard the trend of several macroeconomic indicators, namely the GDP, industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, the monetary base, total household savings, and exchange rate, for February 2002.

The Barometer intends to present on a monthly and quarterly the evolution of the Romanian economy, its state and trends, by the means of the main macroeconomic indicators and aggregates and brief economic analyses: GDP developments, industrial production, foreign trade, inflation, monetary...

The paper presents a high-frequency (monthly) forecast for six macroeconomic indicators: industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, monetary base, households’ savings and exchange rate.

The Barometer of the Romanian Economy" intends to be a mirror of the evolution of the Romanian economy and, at the same time, to be its global indicator of state and trend. "The Barometer of the Romanian Economy" was first published some years ago in Microeconomia aplicatã, on the initiative...

The short-term forecasts regard the trend of several macroeconomic indicators, namely the GDP, industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, monetary base, total household savings, and exchange rate for the first and second quarter of 2002.

This paper is organized in three parts: a discussion of general issues, an overview of evolution of inflation, highlighting the stages of the persistent inflation in Romania, and a model of Romanian inflation using VAR methodology. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument...

At the beginning of the transition period, the public debt in Romania was insignificant. However, during the following years, the accumulating process accelerated. Although the indebtedness degree continues to be smaller than registered levels in other European countries, more dangerous could be...