This study examines the role of elections in determining electricity prices in Quebec. The legislation governing Hydro-Quebec is used to develop a model incorporating its stated policy objectives and the partisan interests of the governing party. Bayesian methods are used to incorporate...

We propose a continuous-time consumption-based capital asset pricing model in which the representative agent's preferences display state-dependent risk aversion. Since fluctuations in marginal utility can be ascribed to variations in levels of risk aversion as well as in levels of consumption,...

This survey provides an introduction to Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling techniques and to their applications to Bayesian econometrics. In describing the Gibbs sampler and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, the emphasis is put on how these techniques can be put into practice; the...

We propose a consumption-based capital asset pricing model in which the representative agent's preferences display state-dependent risk aversion. We obtain a valuation equation in which the vector of excess returns on equity includes both consumption risk as well as the risk associated with...

This article provides a Bayesian method of estimating the marginal posterior distributions for stochastic discount factors associated with observed asset returns. These estimates can be used to provide measures of fit for asset pricing models and to identify broad features of the characteristics...

We make use of a recently developed method to estimate the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution consistent with the fluctuations of asset return data from the Toronto Stock Exchange. These estimates are then used to evaluate various parametric specifications for preferences often used in...

Researchers who wish to estimate factor demands using flexible functional forms may now choose from several candidates supplied by the theoretical literature. Unfortunately, the criteria for a priori model selection are not clear. This paper adopts the use of Bayesian methods and argues that...

We propose a consumption-based capital asset pricing model in which the representative agent's preferences display state-dependent risk aversion. We obtain a valuation equation in which the vector of excess on equity includes both consumption risk as well as the risk associated with variations...

If individual voters observe the true ranking on a set of alternatives with error, then the social choice problem, that is, the problem of aggregating their observations, is one of statistical inference. This study develops a statistical methodology that can be used to evaluate the properties of...