The paper provides a scenario exercise for Russian economic development until 2017. Russia will continue to grow for several years at least, as an emerging middle class drives consumption growth and structural change, though not in exports. Import propensity grows fast, and the recent current...

This paper examines persistent concerns that trade openness in South-East Europe is much less advanced than it was for the former CEECs in the mid to late 1990s. Using econometric tests, we find that trade patterns appear to remain problematic. Second, partial equilibrium simulations are used to...

The aim of this paper is to develop a comprehensive analysis of the shock therapy model of transition. As such the model requires an analysis of what I define as the primary elements: economic analysis, definition of a good society, speed, political structure, ideological structure and initial...

La communication a pour objet l'évaluation des trajectoires suivies par les économies qui ont adopté récemment un régime de Currency Board. Après avoir identifié les motivations de ce choix et différencié les contextes de mise en application de cet arrangement monétaire institutionnel...

In the early 2000s, many developing countries in Eastern Europe, Latin America and Asia presented substantial corporate dollar debts. This paper suggests an explanation for this worrisome phenomenon, which builds on the traditional signaling approach. The model brings into the picture specific...

This article focuses on the interactions between politics and financial markets in emerging economies. More precisely, it examines how Wall Street reacts to major Latin American political events. The case study focuses on the 2002 Brazilian presidential elections. The first section of the...

While the diffusion of independent regulatory agencies (IRAs) across economically advanced countries has attracted much scholarly attention in recent years, systematic work on their spread across developing countries is still scarce. In an effort to address this gap in literature, this paper...

This paper investigates the extent to which the slope of the yield curve in emerging economies predicts domestic inflation and growth. It also examines international financial linkages and how the US and euro area yield curves help to predict. It finds that the domes-tic yield curve in emerging...

This paper studies the impact of daily official foreign exchange interventions on the exchange rates of two EU candidate countries, namely Croatia and Turkey for the periods from 1996 to 2004 and from 2001 to 2004, respectively. Using the event study methodology and a variety of GARCH models...