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This paper presents evidence on attitude changes among investors in the US stock market. Two basic attitudes are explored: bubble expectations and investor confidence. Semiannual time-series indicators of these attitudes are presented for US stock market institutional investors based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471792
The research aims at understanding the housing price fluctuations to examine what measures can be taken to reduce the housing market volatility and control the persistent boom and bust cycles in the UK housing market. In past research, several models have been developed to measure housing price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844017
Many studies documented that actual asset-price movements exhibit momentum and reversion to fundamentals. We study real estate markets and find that households' subjective house-price expectations capture momentum but not reversion to fundamentals. Moreover, if current house prices are deviated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903722
This paper presents evidence on attitude changes among investors in the US stock market. Two basic attitudes are explored: bubble expectations and investor confidence. Semiannual time-series indicators of these attitudes are presented for US stock market institutional investors based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763808
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012873152
Bubbles are omnipresent in lab experiments with asset markets. Most of these experiments were conducted in environments … smaller bubbles if human traders expect algorithmic traders to be present …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009851
I exploit the leveraged exchange-traded funds' (ETFs) primary market to measure aggregate, uninformed, gambling-like demand, that is, speculation sentiment. The leveraged ETFs' primary market is a novel setting that provides observable arbitrage activity attributed to correcting mispricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853530
The booms and busts in U.S. stock prices over the post-war period can to a large extent be explained by fluctuations in investors' subjective capital gains expectations. Survey measures of these expectations display excessive optimism at market peaks and excessive pessimism at market troughs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018988
changing public understanding of speculative bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026129
We propose an extension of the class of rational expectations bubbles (REBs) to the more general rational beliefs … beliefs can thus account for speculative bubbles, without the need for irrational agents or limits to arbitrage. Many of the … shortcomings of REBs that make rational bubbles implausible can be overcome once we relax the ergodicity requirement. In particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919580