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How informative are the subjective density forecasts of macroeconomists?

Kenny, Geoff; Kostka, Thomas; Masera, Federico - 2011

In this paper, we propose a framework to evaluate the information content of subjective expert density forecasts using micro data from the ECB's Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). A key aspect of our analysis is the use of scoring functions which evaluate the entire predictive densities,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009387222

Persuasion by cheap talk

Chakraborty, Archishman; Harbaugh, Rick - In: The American economic review 100 (2010) 5, pp. 2361-2382

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009235718

Monitoring experts

Azrieli, Yaron - In: Theoretical economics : TE ; an open access journal in … 16 (2021) 4, pp. 1313-1350

We study the design of contracts that incentivize experts to collect information and truthfully report it to a decision … on the ex post payoff of the decision maker. The contract thus has to induce the experts to "monitor each other" by …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806483

Expert elicitation, uncertainty, and the value of information in controlling invasive species

Johnson, Fred A.; Smith, Brian J.; Bonneau, Mathieu; … - In: Ecological economics : the transdisciplinary journal of … 137 (2017), pp. 83-90

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794051

Cross-verification and persuasive cheap talk

Atakan, Alp; Ekmekci, Mehmet; Renou, Ludovic - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013188164

A comparison of citizen and "expert" preferences using an attribute-based approach to choice

Colombo, Sergio; Angus, A.; Morris, J.; Parsons, D. J.; … - In: Ecological economics : the transdisciplinary journal of … 68 (2009) 11, pp. 2834-2841

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897817

Expert elicitation of the value per statistical life in an air pollution context

Roman, Henry A.; Hammitt, James K.; Walsh, Tyra L.; … - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578151

Expert opinion versus actual transaction evidence in the valuation of non-market amenities

Cotteleer, Geerte; Van Kooten, Gerrit C. - In: Economic modelling 29 (2012) 1, pp. 32-40

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658272

Validating contingent valuation with surveys of experts

Boyle, Kevin J.; Welsh, Michael P.; Bishop, Richard C.; … - In: Agricultural and resource economics review : ARER 24 (1995) 2, pp. 247-254

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001208507

Die Expertenbewertung als Alternative zur Kontingenzbewertung

Mann, Stefan - In: Agrarwirtschaft : Zeitschrift für Betriebswirtschaft, … 52 (2003) 8, pp. 400-407

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001821064

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