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Economic forecasts are essential in our daily lives. Accordingly, we ask the following questions: (1) Can we have an improved prediction when we additionally combine combinations of forecasts made by various institutions? (2) If we can, then what method of additional combination will be...
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We evaluate the forecasting performance of six different models for short-term forecasting of Macedonian GDP: 1) ARIMA model; 2) AR model estimated by the Kalman filter; 3) model that explains Macedonian GDP as a function of the foreign demand; 4) small structural model that links GDP components...
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