We investigate the presence of rational speculative bubbles in the exchange rates of the British pound, the Canadian dollar, the Danish krone, the Japanese yen and the South African rand against the US dollar. The unit root test shows that the exchange rates and fundamental variables - money...

This study examines the return behavior of 15 emerging equity markets for persistent deviations from the fundamental value hypothesis. The duration dependence test shows that rational expectations bubble do not cause deviations from fundamental value in any of the markets. Markov chain test...

Online Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending has emerged recently. This micro loan market could offer certain benefits to both borrowers and lenders. Using data from the Lending Club, which is one of the popular online P2P lending houses, this article explores the P2P loan characteristics, evaluates their...

This paper examines the nonlinear dynamic behaviors in foreign exchange excess returns of eight currencies. We applied the BDS test and two other nonlinear statistical techniques, the Markov chain, and time reversibility tests to characterize the exchange rate returns dynamics. The results from...

The stock market in Thailand experienced several apparent boom and bust cycles in recent years, which raises the question of whether equity prices in Thailand reflect their fundamental values. This paper examines whether the Thai equity market was characterized by rational expectations bubbles...

Purpose – Variations in price/earnings (P/E) ratios are explained in a rational expectations framework by a number of fundamental factors, such as differences in growth expectations and risk. The purpose of this paper is to use a regression model and data from four sample periods (1996, 2000,...

The presence of rational speculative bubbles in 28 commodities is investigated using the duration dependence test on the stochastic interest-adjusted basis. Eleven of 28 commodities experienced some episodes of rational speculative bubble. These commodities are West Texas Intermediate (WTI)...