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(HL) model is able to forecast real exchange rates better than the random walk (RW) model at both short and long …
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In this paper, the authors set out to date-stamp periods of US housing price explosivity for the period 1830-2013. They make use of several robust techniques that allow them to identify such periods by determining when prices start to exhibit explosivity with respect to its past behaviour and...
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breaks) in the volatility of financial time series. Comparative study of three techniques: ICSS, NPCPM and Cheng's algorithm … breaks in volatility, while Cheng's technique works well only when a single break occurs. …
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volatility process of the innovations of the panel time series into account. Nonstationarity volatility arises for instance when … unit roots that is, unlike many previously suggested tests, robust to such volatility processes. The panel test is based on … from sometimes severe size distortions in the presence of nonstationary volatility, and that this defect can be remedied …
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