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Evidence from a large and growing empirical literature strongly suggests that there have been changes in inflation and … structural analysis, there is little evidence on their usefulness in forecasting UK output growth, inflation and the short … models in forecasting output growth, inflation and a short rate. We find that allowing for time-varying parameters can lead …
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-of-sample forecast results reveal that the best performing model is the symmetric model with no interest rate smoothing, heterogeneous …
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In this paper the authors set out to date-stamp periods of US housing price explosivity for the period 1830–2013. They make use of several robust techniques that allow them to identify such periods by determining when prices start to exhibit explosivity with respect to its past behaviour and...
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