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One of the earliest signs of the financial crisis in summer 2007 was the plunge in the indicaaes compiled from credit default swaps (CDSs) on a basket of subprime backed bonds. Recently, the worsening situation in the emerging countries has been perceptible in the steep rise of CDS spreads on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150711
Models of financial distress rely primarily on accounting-based information (e.g. [Altman, E., 1968. Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. Journal of Finance 23, 589–609; Ohlson, J., 1980. Financial ratios and the probabilistic prediction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150845
We consider counterparty risk for Credit Default Swaps (CDS) in presence of correlation between default of the counterparty and default of the CDS reference credit. Our approach is innovative in that, besides default correlation, which was taken into account in earlier approaches, we also model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153473
Applied to the European markets, this paper analyzes the price of credit risk on the Credit Default Swap (CDS) and corporate bond markets by comparing the sensitivity of the credit spreads on each market to systematic, idiosyncratic risk factors and liquidity. Our analysis confirms the existence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156973
We investigate how market participants price and manage counterparty credit risk in the post-crisis period using confidential trade repository data on single-name credit default swap (CDS) transactions. We find that counterparty risk has a modest impact on the pricing of CDS contracts, but a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902838
In order to analyze the pricing of portfolio credit risk – as revealed by tranche spreads of a popular credit default swap (CDS) index – we extract risk-neutral probabilities of default (PDs) and physical asset return correlations from single-name CDS spreads. The time profile and overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903245
The q-Gaussian generalization of the Merton framework allows pricing of the additional risk premium related to fluctuations of the variance of the market value of a company's assets, which can explain the observed level of short-term CDS spreads of investment grade issuers. The derived simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908526
Quanto CDS spreads are differences in CDS premiums of the same reference entity but in different currency denominations. Such spreads can arise in arbitrage-free models and depend on the risk of a jump in the exchange rate upon default of the underlying and the covariance between the exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909325
We provide evidence that credit investors do not fully impound the implications of firms' cost structure when pricing credit default swaps. Information about firms' cost structure is not disclosed and needs to be estimated. Furthermore, the performance implications of firms' cost structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912219
This study proposes models that can be used as shorthand analysis tools for CDS spreads and CDS spread changes. For this purpose, we examine the determinants of CDS spreads and spread changes on a broad database of 718 US firms during the period from early 2002 to early 2013. Contrary to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973726