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In this paper two simple tests to distinguish between unit root processes and stationary nonlinear processes are proposed. New limit distribution results are provided, together with two F type test statistics for the joint unit root and linearity hypothesis against a specific nonlinear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001845685
This paper considers testing the unit root hypothesis against a smooth transition autoregressive model as the alternative. The model specification makes it possible to discriminate between nonstationary random walk and stationary nonlinear processes. Some new limit results are presented,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001845699
In this paper, it is demonstrated by simulation that, contrary to a widely held belief, pure seasonal mean shifts - i.e., seasonal structural breaks which affect only the deterministic seasonal cycle - really do matter for Dickey-Fuller long-run unit root tests
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734515
theory and asymptotic expansions for the process and document how inference in LUR and STUR autoregressions is affected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931700
This study investigates the stationary behavior of the inlation rates for the Euro-zone members and some neighboring countries, for the 1957:2 to 2007:3 period. The analysis uses univariate unit root tests with enhanced small-sample performances that allow up to two breaks in the intercept,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712783
We consider large n, T panel data models with fixed effects, persistent common factors allowing for cross-section dependence, and possibly correlated persistent innovations that are assumed fractionally integrated. In the model, a) persistence in the innovations and the common factor allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031907
While differencing transformations can eliminate nonstationarity, they typically reduce signal strength and correspondingly reduce rates of convergence in unit root autoregressions. The present paper shows that aggregating moment conditions that are formulated in differences provides an orderly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148982
Suicides represent an encompassing measure of psychological wellbeing, emotional stability as well as life satisfaction, and they have been recently identified by the World Health Organization (WHO) as a major global health concern. The G20 countries represent the powerhouse of global economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012666866
Prior to the financial crisis in the mid-2000, house prices increased dramatically and most economists agree that part of the increase in Danish house prices can be characterized as a house- price bubble. The emergence of a house-price bubble can have sizeable implications for macroeconomic as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696535
In this paper we investigate whether long run time series of income per capita are better described by a trend-stationary model with few structural changes or by unit root processes in which permanent stochastic shocks are responsible for the observed growth discontinuities. To this purpose, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012098522