The paper presents factor and predictive GARCH(1,1) models of the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) main index WIG. An approach where the mean equation of the GARCH model includes a deterministic part is applied. The models incorporate such explanatory variables as volume of trade and major...

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) with the stated objective of promoting home ownership by improving the availability of mortgage financing for private households. These enterprises engage in two separate and distinct lines of business: (i) assembling and...

This paper examines the effects of mergers on bidding firms’ stock prices. We find evidence of merger momentum: bidder stock prices are more likely to increase when a merger is announced if recent mergers by other firms have been received well (a “hot” merger market) or if the overall...

Some recent empirical evidence suggests that stock prices are not properly modelled as the present discounted value of expected dividends. In this paper we estimate a present value model of stock price that is capable of explaining the observed long-term trends in stock prices. The model...

This paper uses a new data source on share prices to examine how stock markets in 23 countries reacted to the crash of October 1987. It records substantial variations across countries. In general there is no evidence that these differences are related to the structure of markets. However,...