Prediction markets have proven high forecasting performance in many areas such as politics, sportsand business-related fields compared to traditional instruments such as polls or expert opinions. Theadvantage of real-money prediction markets is to provide participants with a clear incentive to...

Prediction markets are considered as a promising new forecasting method that has proven high prediction accuracy in many areas such as politics, sports, and business-related fields. The method is, however, far from being established or even understood. The specific circumstances and market...

Prediction markets are considered as a promising new forecasting method that has proven high prediction accuracy in many areas such as politics, sports, and business-related fields. The method is, however, far from being established or even understood. The specific circumstances and market...

Prediction markets are an innovative forecasting method that has proven high prediction accuracy in many areas. The method is, however, far from being established since many organizations are still reluctant to use the method. In particular the trust in the forecast results is a key challenge...