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We analyse the extent to which prices in the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and bond markets reflect the same information on credit risk in the context of the European Monetary Union. The empirical analysis is based on the theoretical equivalence relation that should hold between the CDS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114370
Thanks to an analysis of structural changes in abnormal spread series, we stress specific investors' reactions to rating actions. These reactions are much more usual when the issues are in sterlings than in euros. When reacting in the euro area, investors mainly react after banks' and public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125383
I propose a simple econometric model to capture the interaction between commonness and idiosyncrasy in returns on sovereign bonds of Eurozone countries. Common contagion is defined as the impact of yesterday's idiosyncratic shocks on today's common factor. When assuming returns are driven by one...
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We examine effects of sovereign risk on bond duration in European and Latin American sovereign bond markets over the period 1996-2011. We compare the sovereign risk-adjusted duration for U.S. dollar-denominated sovereign bonds with their Macaulay duration for both investment- and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101247
We examine the role of the CDS and bond markets during and before the recent euro area sovereign debt crisis as transmission channels for credit risk contagion between sovereign entities. We analyse an intraday dataset for GIIPS countries as well as for France and Germany. Our findings suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979715
This paper develops a small open economy model to investigate the impact of rising sovereign bond market spreads on the real economy. One key element of the model is a “sovereign risk channel” through which tensions in the sovereign bond market tend to spill over into private credit markets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985874